Our faculty soccer convention preview continues as we check out the Large 12 Convention.
The win totals, convention title odds and nationwide championship odds for each FBS workforce have been launched, and under our consultants — Invoice Connelly, David Hale, Doug Kezirian, Joe Fortenbaugh and Tyler Fulghum — give their finest finest bets for the Large 12.
Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.
Large 12 finest bets
TCU Horned Frogs over 7.5 wins (-115)
Fortenbaugh: All of the discuss surrounding the Large 12’s 2021 season has targeted on Oklahoma and Iowa State for good motive, however do not get caught sleeping on Gary Patterson’s Horned Frogs, who return 18 starters together with dual-threat quarterback Max Duggan. Duggan’s completion share jumped from a suspect 53% in 2019 to a wholesome 61% final yr and there are many causes to consider one other leap is on the horizon. In reality, 4-1 by way of the opening 5 video games may be very life like (vs. Duquesne, vs. California, vs. SMU following a bye week, vs. Texas, at Texas Tech) and that is earlier than you’re taking word that residence dates towards Baylor and Kansas provide layup wins. If Iowa State falters, do not be shocked if TCU finds its method into the Large 12 championship video games.
TCU to win the league (+2000)
Connelly: Like Baylor, TCU might very effectively have a top-20 protection on its fingers. And late final season, we caught some supremely encouraging glimpses from a pair of star freshmen — working again Zach Evans (29 carries for 264 yards in his final three video games) and receiver Quentin Johnston (eight catches for 247 in his final two) — that led us to consider that, whereas this offense in all probability will not be abruptly elite, it ought to be fairly a bit higher than it has been of late. Enjoying at each OU and Iowa State is not conducive to a Large 12 title run, however the Horned Frogs have gained loads of enormous street video games prior to now and any time I see +2000 odds related to a Gary Patterson workforce, it is a tempting proposition.
Baylor Bears over 5.5 wins (+105)
Connelly: Only one season in the past, Baylor was in time beyond regulation within the Large 12 Championship, taking part in for a potential spot within the Faculty Soccer Playoff. Issues went off the rails final season because of a training change and three early one-score losses, however second-year head coach Dave Aranda has a possible top-20 protection on his fingers, to not point out (a) an offense that may’t play a lot worse, and (b) a schedule with some gimmes. The Bears play three groups projected 118th or worse in SP+, which implies they need to have to solely go 3-6 within the different 9 video games to hit the Over. SP+ offers them a 66% likelihood of doing so.
Kansas Jayhawks underneath 1.5 wins (-170)
Fulghum: Kansas will solely be favored in a single recreation all season lengthy (Week 1 vs. South Dakota). Final yr’s workforce misplaced its eight convention video games by a mean of 32.3 PPG. Les Miles was dismissed from this system unexpectedly and Lance Leipold is available in to an unenviable state of affairs regardless of a powerful resume. Successful soccer video games at Kansas simply is not simple to do, and Leipold is beginning this season behind the 8-ball… with a really dangerous workforce.