Win total predictions: Our reporters make over/under picks for all 32 teams

NFL

Regardless that the 2022 NFL season is roughly 4 months from kicking off, it is by no means too early to take a position about win totals — or to gamble on them.

So far as the latter is anxious, Caesars Sportsbook launched its preliminary projected win totals for every group for the approaching season. There’s so much that may nonetheless occur between from time to time, however NFL over/unders are open for wagering, so we requested our 32 NFL Nation writers to handicap the win totals of the groups they cowl based mostly on the preliminary Caesars numbers listed under.

There’s loads of optimism from our reporters in regards to the fortunes of the groups they cowl, a bit pessimism and the occasional pragmatic push right here and there. Whether or not it is optimism about operating it again with a successful group, giddiness about offseason additions or adopting a wait-and-see strategy for rebuilding conditions, NFL Nation is right here to supply keen bettors with early recommendation.

Soar to:
ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN
CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND
JAX | KC | LAC | LAR | LV | MIA | MIN
NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF
SEA | TB | TEN | WSH

AFC EAST

Over/underneath: 11.5

Prediction: Buffalo received 11 video games final 12 months however ought to have received much more. The 2022 Payments ought to win greater than 11. This roster is healthier than in 2021, because of the additions made all through the offseason, most notably Von Miller. The AFC East improved across the Payments and the schedule has powerful video games in each portion, however this roster ought to win a minimum of 12 video games. — Alaina Getzenberg


Over/underneath: 8.5

Prediction: On paper, there are seven video games that Miami ought to win if it considers itself a playoff contender. If it takes care of enterprise in these video games and pulls out a few swing video games, Miami ought to clear 8.5. — Marcel Louis-Jacques


Over/underneath: 8.5

Prediction: Invoice Belichick’s group wants just a few issues to occur to hit the over, beginning with quarterback Mac Jones making the often-discussed second-year soar. There are massive questions at linebacker and cornerback to reply as properly, and the offensive teaching workers, the place Matt Patricia and Joe Decide — whose main backgrounds are on protection and particular groups, respectively — are taking up lead roles. — Mike Reiss


Over/underneath: 5.5

Prediction: The Jets’ over/underneath is bigger than their common win whole over the previous six seasons (4.5). Disgrace on them if they cannot win a minimum of six video games. After years of rebuilding — it seems like many years, proper? — the Jets have improved their personnel on each side of the ball to the purpose the place they completely needs to be taking part in significant video games in December. The distinction between 6-11 and, say, 9-8, shall be Zach Wilson and his growth. — Wealthy Cimini

AFC NORTH

Over/underneath: 9.5

Prediction: Baltimore will hit the over so long as Lamar Jackson stays wholesome, which was a significant concern final 12 months. Since Jackson took over because the starter halfway via the 2018 season, his successful proportion (.755, 37-12 report) ranks solely behind that of Patrick Mahomes. With out Jackson, Baltimore is 2-5 (.286) over the previous three seasons. — Jamison Hensley


Over/underneath: 9.5

Prediction: Final season, the Bengals exceeded expectations with a 10-win season. Cincinnati will want one other robust defensive 12 months and for its offense to click on because it did in wins over Kansas Metropolis and Baltimore if it needs to have a shot of hitting double digits. — Ben Child

Over/underneath: 9.5

Prediction: Whether or not Cleveland can prime the present over/underneath will hinge closely on whether or not new quarterback Deshaun Watson is suspended underneath the league’s code of conduct coverage. If Watson is not suspended, the Browns have the expertise to simply attain 10 victories in opposition to this schedule. — Jake Trotter


Over/underneath: 7.5

Prediction: For the Steelers to hit the over, they’re going to want the quarterback scenario to be settled — and shortly. Whether or not that is Kenny Pickett ranging from the start and deftly adjusting to the NFL studying curve or Mitch Trubisky commanding Matt Canada’s offense, whoever takes over the beginning job must hit the bottom operating, actually. — Brooke Pryor

AFC SOUTH

Over/underneath: 4.5

Prediction: Taking the over requires some religion in an improved offense behind quarterback Davis Mills, however even with a schedule that features the powerful AFC West, I will take the over in Houston. — Sarah Barshop


Over/underneath: 9.5

Prediction: The Colts cannot rely as a lot on operating again Jonathan Taylor like they did final season in the event that they count on to fulfill or surpass that whole. The younger receivers, led by Michael Pittman Jr., must step up and assist Taylor and new beginning quarterback Matt Ryan if the Colts count on to go toe-to-toe with their schedule. — Mike Wells

Over/underneath: 6.5

Prediction: Simply having Doug Pederson main the ship as a substitute of City Meyer will make an enormous distinction, however to hit the over, quarterback Trevor Lawrence has to make main strides in his second season. That does not appear unreasonable, contemplating he is not coping with the dysfunction that infested the franchise underneath Meyer, the truth that Pederson has given him three assistants who had been former school or professional quarterbacks, and the group added receivers Christian Kirk and Zay Jones and tight finish Evan Engram in free company. — Michael DiRocco


Over/underneath: 9.5

Prediction: Tennessee has received 9 or extra video games in every of its three seasons with Mike Vrabel as coach. This 12 months’s schedule options clashes with the AFC West and a go to to Buffalo to face the Payments. Though it is no stroll within the park, the Titans ought to be capable of salvage 10 wins. — Turron Davenport

AFC WEST

Over/underneath quantity: 10

Prediction: To hit that over/underneath of 10, the Broncos will doubtless have to interrupt the dropping streak to the Chiefs, win most, or all, of their dwelling video games and be ready to interrupt a six-year playoff drought. — Jeff Legwold


Over/underneath: 10.5

Prediction: The Chiefs have received a minimum of 12 video games in every of the previous 4 seasons. However they have not performed a schedule fairly as tough because the one they’ll face this season, after every of their AFC West rivals loaded up via free company and trades. The Chiefs can hit the over in the event that they survive a gap six-game stretch that features two division video games plus matchups with the Payments and Bucs. — Adam Teicher


Over/underneath: 8.5

Prediction: That over/underneath of 8.5 appears insulting, given the Raiders are coming off a 10-win playoff season, improved throughout the roster and joined the twenty first century with an elite playcaller in new coach Josh McDaniels. That is on paper, although, and the offensive line nonetheless has to guard quarterback Derek Carr, who will want time to ship the ball downfield to varsity bestie Davante Adams. — Paul Gutierrez


Over/underneath: 10

Prediction: On paper, 10 wins needs to be doable, however fall into an 0-2 gap in opposition to a pair of AFC West foes and that climb again shall be steep certainly. Win each video games, and it needs to be easy crusing from there on in. — Paul Gutierrez

NFC EAST

Over/underneath: 10.5

Prediction: A 12 months in the past, the Cowboys received 12 video games, however they do not have Amari Cooper, Randy Gregory, Connor Williams or La’el Collins round this 12 months. They have not made the large free-agent splashes. Their draft did not generate a ton of buzz, both. So why 10.5? They’re tied with Washington for the simplest power of schedule based mostly off final 12 months’s win percentages. — Todd Archer


Over/underneath: 7

Prediction: Seven wins appears formidable. This may be a three-win enchancment from final season’s 4-13 end. Is the prospect that Jones stays wholesome (he hasn’t but in three seasons) and a brand new teaching workers actually sufficient to carry the 4 wins it might take to hit the over? — Jordan Raanan


Over/underneath: 9

Prediction: Contemplating the power of schedule based mostly off final 12 months’s win percentages and the actual fact they received 9 video games final season, the over/underneath of 9 could be a bit low. The commerce for A.J. Brown ought to assist quarterback Jalen Hurts in his second full season because the beginning quarterback. — Todd Archer


Over/underneath: 7.5

Prediction: That over/underneath would imply only a half-win higher than 2021 when accidents and COVID-19 derailed Washington’s season. The Commanders have upgraded at quarterback and will have a a lot better offense general. Defensively, they do not face close to the caliber of quarterbacks they did final season. — John Keim

NFC NORTH

Over/underneath: 6.5

Prediction: The NFC North is extra open than years previous, however Chicago is not a group at present constructed to contend for the playoffs, not to mention a division title. The Bears will play 13 straight video games earlier than they get per week off late within the season. In the event that they need to hit the over, they could must depend on their protection to hold the load with some early wins as Justin Fields builds chemistry together with his new teammates throughout the early portion of the schedule. — Courtney Cronin


Over/underneath: 6

Prediction: To hit the over, quarterback Jared Goff has to point out that he may be productive with anybody aside from Sean McVay as his head coach. Goff is 3-17-1 (.167) with a QBR of 33 in his profession with out McVay. All of that actually is not his fault. Lions normal supervisor Brad Holmes is placing offensive weapons round him in 2022, and Goff has a familiarity with receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown, operating again D’Andre Swift and tight finish T.J. Hockenson. Plus, the Lions added receivers Chark and Jameson Williams by way of free company and the draft, respectively. The rebuilt protection additionally has to step it up as properly. — Eric Woodyard


Over/underneath: 11

Prediction: The oddmakers should not assume coach Matt LaFleur can put collectively a fourth straight 13-win season. LaFleur has completed that in every of his first three seasons as a head coach. If they’ll make up for the lack of All-Professional receiver Davante Adams, then they might go over once more. And bear in mind, they had been 7-0 with out Adams the previous three seasons. — Rob Demovsky


Over/underneath: 9

Prediction: Take the over. The Vikings’ roster has the next flooring than most groups that rent a brand new coach. It is proficient and has averaged 9 wins per 12 months over the previous 9 seasons. With a recent coat of paint on the offense and protection, and a weakened NFC general, this group ought to win a minimum of 10 video games. — Kevin Seifert

NFC SOUTH

Over/underneath: 5.5

Prediction: Oddsmakers aren’t excessive on the Falcons – the over/underneath on win whole is 5.5 – and that is with good cause, based mostly on the roster as at present constructed. Atlanta might shock a bit, notably within the entrance seven on protection, however inevitably falls slightly below the over/underneath mark at 5 wins this season. — Michael Rothstein


Over/underneath: 6

Prediction: The chances-makers have the Panthers’ win whole at 6. That is yet another win than the group has had in every of the previous three seasons. Carolina hasn’t had a successful season since going 11-5 in 2017, which coincides with the final time the group had constant quarterback play. To surpass six wins, constant play from Sam Darnold, or whoever is at quarterback, is a should. — David Newton


Over/underneath: 7.5

Prediction: The oddsmakers are skeptical the Saints can overcome the lack of coach Sean Payton, setting their win whole at 7.5. That is too low, contemplating they went 9-8 final 12 months regardless of setting an NFL report with 58 starters used. Getting quarterback Jameis Winston and star wideout Michael Thomas again wholesome and including first-round choose Chris Olave will revive the offense. — Mike Triplett


Over/underneath: 11.5

Prediction: They managed to go 13-4 final season regardless of their receiving corps being decimated by accidents within the final quarter of the season. However that was in opposition to a Twenty ninth-ranked schedule, in response to FPI, with opponents ending a mixed 126-145 the 12 months earlier than. This season, the Bucs’ opponents completed a mixed 154-134-1 in 2021. — Jenna Laine

NFC WEST

Over/underneath quantity: 9

Prediction: They will must have a robust begin with out Hopkins to succeed in that quantity. Their season is stuffed with powerful stretches and with a historical past of late-season collapses, reaching 9 wins could also be a stretch. — Josh Weinfuss


Over/underneath quantity: 10.5

Prediction: I will take the over. Sure, the Rams have the hardest power of schedule in 2022, however they’d the second-toughest final season and nonetheless received 12 video games. — Sarah Barshop


Over/underneath quantity: 10

Prediction: That is the variety of video games the Niners received final season earlier than making a deep postseason run and feels about proper for a roster that continues to be largely intact. However there’s much more potential variance with this group due to the anticipated ascendance of Trey Lance to the beginning quarterback job. — Nick Wagoner


Over/underneath quantity: 6

Prediction: I am taking the over, however barely. That may appear overly optimistic for a group with a significant query mark at quarterback, however there’s sufficient expertise elsewhere on their roster — and sufficient weak-looking opponents with iffy QB conditions of their very own — to scratch out seven wins. That can require one notable upset. — Brady Henderson

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